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Poker Tips

Poker Tip of the Week

To be successful at shorthanded hold'em you must realize that if you are not careful an individual could have the best of it by simply always betting. Hold'em Poker 2000 edition David Sklansky/Mason Malmuth

Any semi bluff that is break even or better can always be considered a winner.

You bet on the turn and again you are check raised. Now what do you do. Well now you have to think. Do you have the best hand or could the opponent be bluffing you. What guides you in your decision. The first thing you must think about are your opponent and his check raising requirements. You must decide if he check raises with top pair or does he check raise with two pair or higher. Next look at the opponents chips. Does the opponents chip stack look healthy or has it dwindled to a desperate situation. Many opponents will not check raise bluff till their situation becomes desperate often you will catch a bluff by calling this opponent down. Look to see if the opponent is a loose wild type that will try any move to get the pot. Next you want to decide the probability that the opponent has the hand that he is representing. For example you have AA and the flop comes down Q 3 2. It is doubtful an opponent will not raise with QQ from early position. He could have a 33 or 22. You probably have the best hand. You may consider a reraise. I use this example as a simple one but the problem becomes a lot greater as the flops get closer together and include flushes. You must decide what the opponent could have that he could easily check raise you and get as close to the answer as you can. Sometimes you just have to fold as it is just too easy for the opponent to have what he represents. So when you are check raised think long and hard about saving bets and gaining bets and make higher earns.

Now for some single hand analysis heads up. Remember I am using the latest technology and program for these calculations. Think about how you should play the blinds heads up.

T9s Win Rate with ties 55.85%

Win Rate without ties 52.76

Now the break downs.

Straight flush win .14 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total .14 to the black

Four of a Kind win .18 lose .02 tie .02 Total .20 to the black

Full house win 1.81 lose .14 tie .19 Total 2.00 to the black

Flush win 5.96 lose .30 tie .16 Total 6.12 to the black

Straight win 7.46 lose .51 tie .49 Total 7.95 to the black

Three of a kind win 2.91 lose 1.04 tie .13 Total 3.04 to the black

Two pair win 13.75 lose 6.30 tie 1.09 Total 14.84 to the black

One pair win 18.08 lose 22.37 tie .84 Total 18.92 to the red

No pair win 2.47 lose 13.48 tie .17 Total 2.64 to the red

A2 offsuit Win Rate with ties 56.58% Win Rate without ties 52.81

Now the break downs.

Straight flush win .01 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total .01 to the black

Four of a Kind win .09 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total .09 to the black

Full House win 1.60 lose .14 tie .22 Total 1.82 to the black

Flush win 1.53 lose .31 tie .17 Total 1.70 to the black

Straight win 2.38 lose .42 tie .53 Total 2.92 to the black

Three of a Kind win 3.34 lose .59 tie .10 Total 3.44 to the black

Two pair win 16.30 lose 5.59 tie .69 Total 16.99 to the black

One pair win 22.55 lose 21.78 tie 1.51 Total 24.06 to the black

No pair win 5.01 lose 14.58 tie .54 Total 5.55 to the red

The hands are broken down to make you think. Hosh can't do that at the table for you and get a response.

Play Well and Have Fun!! Hosh


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